Global Warming Creates Harmony

18 04 2007

Paul at Wizbang has figured out that if you believe in the Global Warming crisis, you really can have it both ways. Now we all “know” that Global Warming causes intense hurricanes (even though the 2006 season was virtually non-existent despite the dire warnings by Global Warming experts). Linking to this article at Reuters, “Global Warming May Spur Wind Sheer, Sap Hurricanes“, Paul draws the obvious conclusion:

MIAMI (Reuters) – Global warming could increase a climate phenomenon known as wind shear that inhibits Atlantic hurricanes, a potentially positive result of climate change, according to new research released on Tuesday.

The study, to be published on Wednesday in Geophysical Research Letters, found that climate model simulations show a “robust increase” in wind shear in the tropical Atlantic during the 21st century from global warming.

Wind shear, a difference in wind speed or direction at different altitudes, tends to tear apart tropical cyclones, preventing nascent ones from growing and already-formed hurricanes from becoming the monster storms that cause the most damage.

You see… it’s perfect. If we have an active 2007 season it’s because of global warming. If we have another dud… That’s right; more proof of global warming. You really can have it both ways.

Sounds to me like the Earth is in perfect balance.

In recent years some scientists have suggested that human-induced greenhouse warming may be increasing the intensity of Atlantic hurricanes by heating up the sea water from which they draw their energy.

In February a report by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change said it was “more likely than not” that humans contribute to a trend of increasingly intense hurricanes.

But researchers in the new study said increased wind shear could counter the effect of warming waters in the Atlantic.

“The environmental changes found in the study do not suggest a big increase in tropical Atlantic hurricane activity during the 21st century,” said Brian Soden, a co-author of the report.





The Carbon Neutral Goracle

11 04 2007

Thanks to John at Last Train Out Of Hell for drawing my atttention to this gem:

gore54-thumb.jpg





Crichton’s Global Warming Solution: Ban Private Jets

27 03 2007

Intelligence Squared hosted a debate on Global Warming (available for your listening pleasure here or here), asking the audience in attendance to decide whether they agree or disagree with the statement “Global Warming is not a crisis”.

Arguing for the motion were Michael Crichton, Richard Lindzen and Philip Stott, while arguing against the motion were Brenda Ekwurzel, Gavin Schmidt and Richard Somerville. The outcome was decided by audience polling:

In a vote before the debate, about 30 percent of the audience agreed with the motion, while 57 percent were against and 13 percent undecided. The debate seemed to affect a number of people: Afterward, about 46 percent agreed with the motion, roughly 42 percent were opposed and about 12 percent were undecided.

It’s a fascinating debate with excellent points made by both sides. If you don’t want to listen to it or want to read the full transcript, check it out at Crichton’s site and while you’re there, check out his appearance on Charlie Rose, in which the many fallacies of his critics of his position on Global Warming are revealed as well as interesting info on some of his other recent books.

Getting back to the debate, Crichton, in his closing argument, puts forth a simple, inexpensive and immediate solution to the Global Warming “crisis” – and it’s the best solution I’ve heard yet:

There was a time when I worked in a clinic and, uh, one day a young woman came in, she was in her early twenties for a routine checkup and, I said what’s going on with you and she said I’ve just become blind. And, I said, oh my gosh, really, when did it happen, she said, well just, uh, coming into the clinic, walking up the steps of the clinic I became blind. And I said, oh, and I’m by now I’m looking through the chart and I said, well, has this happened before, she said yes, it’s happened before. I’ve become blind in the past, and, what she had of course was hysterical blindness. And the characteristic of that, is that, the severity of the symptom is not matched by the emotional response that’s, that’s being presented. Most people would be screaming about that but she was very calm, oh yes, I’m blind again. And I’m reminded of that whenever I hear, that we’re facing, whether we wanna call it a crisis or not, a significant global event, of, of importance where we’re gonna have species lost and so on and so forth, that we can really address this by changing our light bulbs. Or that we can really make an impact by unplugging our appliances when we’re not using them. It’s very much out of whack. And so if we’re only gonna do symbolic actions, I would like to suggest a few symbolic actions that might really mean something. One of them, which is very simple, 99% of the American population doesn’t care, is ban private jets. Nobody needs to fly in them, ban them now. And, and in addition, [APPLAUSE] let’s have the NRDC, the, the Sierra Club and Greenpeace make it a rule that all of their, all of their members, cannot fly on private jets, they must get their houses off the grid, they must live in the way that they’re telling everyone else to live. And if they won’t do that, why should we.  And why should we take them seriously. [APPLAUSE]





Even 6th Graders Get It

23 03 2007

Global Warming On Trial.





“The Great Global Warming Swindle” on UK Channel 4

4 03 2007

Lies! It’s all lies! The producers have a political agenda. Don’t believe it. In fact, don’t even watch it. No one should be able to watch it! Ban it, censor it, damn your eyes!

Update:





Believers of Anthropogenic Global Warming Won’t Read This

21 01 2007

Flemming Rose and Bjorn Lomborg ask the question, “Is Mr. Gore’s world a worthwhile sacrifice?” at OpinionJournal.





Scientific Consensus = Oxymoron

20 01 2007

Reader Joe was kind enough to leave the following comment at a previous post:

I’m interested to read the list of texts you’ve read that prompt you disagree with global scientific consensus on the matter.

In his comment asking for my sources, he links to wikipedia as his source for the scientific consensus on Global Warming, to this page, “scientific opinion on climate change,” specifically.

While I enjoy scouring wikipedia for inane trivia, I would hardly consider it a credible source for anything, let alone scientific fact. But using it as a source for argument’s sake, on the very same wikipedia page is a link to this other wikipedia page, a list of scientists opposing global warming consensus which contains a sampling of specific statements from scientists who, as the page title aptly indicates, oppose the global warming consensus.

Picking one at random, here is Richard Lindzen, MIT meteorology professor and member of the National Academy of Sciences:

We are quite confident (1) that global mean temperature is about 0.5°C higher than it was a century ago; (2) that atmospheric levels of CO2 have risen over the past two centuries; and (3) that CO2 is a greenhouse gas whose increase is likely to warm the earth (one of many, the most important being water vapor and clouds). But–and I cannot stress this enough–we are not in a position to confidently attribute past climate change to CO2 or to forecast what the climate will be in the future.” [8] “[T]here has been no question whatsoever that CO2 is an infrared absorber (i.e., a greenhouse gas — albeit a minor one), and its increase should theoretically contribute to warming. Indeed, if all else were kept equal, the increase in CO2 should have led to somewhat more warming than has been observed.” (San Francisco Examiner, July 12, 2006 [9] and in Wall Street Journal, June 26, 2006, Page A14)

Here’s a little more bio background on Lindzen from his own wikipedia page

Lindzen is identified as a contributer to Chapter 4 of the “IPCC Second Assessment”, “Climate Change 1995″.[2]
 
He has been a strong critic of anthropogenic global warming theories and wrote an op-ed for the Wall Street Journal in April, 2006, wherein he not only contested media assertions that the Bush administration has been putting pressure on scientists to oppose climate change principles but insisted that exactly the opposite is taking place: “Scientists who dissent from the alarmism have seen their grant funds disappear, their work derided, and themselves labeled as industry stooges, scientific hacks or worse.”[3]
 
In the same piece, Lindzen also wrote: “In Europe, Henk Tennekes was dismissed as research director of the Royal Dutch Meteorological Society after questioning the scientific underpinnings of global warming. Aksel Winn-Nielsen, former director of the U.N.’s World Meteorological Organization, was tarred by Bert Bolin, first head of the IPCC, as a tool of the coal industry for questioning climate alarmism. Respected Italian professors Alfonso Sutera and Antonio Speranza disappeared from the debate in 1991, apparently losing climate-research funding for raising questions.”[4]

……….

His position with regard to the IPCC can be summed up with this quotation: “Picking holes in the IPCC is crucial. The notion that if you’re ignorant of something and somebody comes up with a wrong answer, and you have to accept that because you don’t have another wrong answer to offer is like faith healing, it’s like quackery in medicine – if somebody says you should take jelly beans for cancer and you say that’s stupid, and he says, well can you suggest something else and you say, no, does that mean you have to go with jelly beans?”[6]

if we’re using wikipedia as our source, there’s also the global warming skeptics page
where you will find links to the Oregon Petition alongside Larry The Cable Guy, and which itself has a link to the former global warming skeptics page, which includes noted scientific scholars Rupert Murdoch and Pat Robertson.

Then there’s Greenpeace founder Patrick Moore’s page where his views on Global Warming are described as such:

While acknowledging that the increase of carbon dioxide in the Earth’s atmosphere is caused by human consumption of fossil fuels, he claims that as of 2006 it cannot be fully proven that this is the reason the Earth has been warming since 1980. He stresses that [it] is scientific evidence, not consensus opinion, that would prove or disprove this relation.

“Scientific consensus”.

I saw Al Gore’s movie. Lauded as the must see, end all be all, one stop shopping for information on Global Warming. I was moved until I did some research myself and found out he paints a skewed picture. His most memorable image, the Hockey Stick Graph is still being debated for it’s accuracy, in particular for its erroneous representation of the middle ages warm period.

But who is Al Gore anyway? He’s not a climatologist. He’s not a meteorologist. He’s not a scientist of any kind. He’s a politician. Okay, so if we’re taking the word of a politician (can you believe that?) than how about the word of a journalist? Millions of people accept what journalists say as fact every day. Here’s one of my favorites, John Hockenberry. who writes in this months Wired Magazine (Feb 2007) a portion of the cover story, “What We Don’t Know: 42 of the biggest questions in science”. He answers the question “What causes ice ages?” (I’m typing this in from the hardcopy since it’s not posted online at this time – and note, this copy of Wired was literally picked up at random after I read Joe’s comment last night and lo and behold there was an opinion that differed with the “consensus”)

Scientists know that small-scale ice ages occur every 20,000-40,000 years and that massive ones happen every 100,000 years or so. They just don’t know why. The current theory – first proposed in 1920 by Serbian engineer Milutin Milankovitch – is that irregularities in Earth’s orbit change how much solar energy it absorbs, resulting in sudden (well, geologically speaking) cooling. While this neatly fits the timing of short term events, there’s still a big problem. Over the past few decades, studies have show that orbital fluctuations affect solar energy by 1 percent or less – far too little too little to produce massive climate shifts on their own. “The mystery is, what is the amplification factor?” says University of Michigan geologist and climatologist Henry Pollack. “What takes a small amount of solar energy change and produces a large amount of glaciation? Studies of ice and seabed cores reveal that temperature rise and fall is heavily correlated with changes in greenhouse-gas concentrations. But it’s a chicken-and-egg problem. Are CO2 rises and falls a cause of climate change or an effect? If they are a cause, what initiates the change? Figuring this out could tell us a great deal about the current global warming problem and how it might be solved. But as Matthew Saltzman, a geologist at Ohio State puts it, “We need to know why greenhouse gases fluctuated in prehuman times, and we just don’t.”

And that’s the crux of the matter. No matter what Al Gore says or what a panel of scientists votes on or what committee Nancy Pelosi forms, we just don’t know. And to say we do is a convenient lie.

Which brings me to the concept of “scientific consensus”. The Oxymoron of the Year. To paraphrase Patrick Moore’s quote above, science is about fact, not about consensus. There was a time when the scientific consensus was that the world was flat. There was a consensus about the benefits of Eugenics. There was a scientific consensus that Pluto was a planet until a group of scientists voted to adopt a new consensus.

Michael Crichton says it best in his speech “The Impossibility Of Prediction” given to the National Press Club on January 25, 2005:

As most of you have heard many times, the consensus of climate scientists believes in global warming. Historically, the claim of consensus has been the first refuge of scoundrels; it is a way to avoid debate by claiming that the matter is already settled. Whenever you hear the consensus of scientists agrees on something or other, reach for your wallet, because you’re being had.
 
Let’s be clear: the work of science has nothing whatever to do with consensus. Consensus is the business of politics. Science, on the contrary, requires only one investigator who happens to be right, which means that he or she has results that are verifiable by reference to the real world. In science, consensus is irrelevant. What is relevant is reproducible results. The greatest scientists in history are great precisely because they broke with the consensus.
 
And furthermore, the consensus of scientists has frequently been wrong. As they were wrong when they believed, earlier in my lifetime, that the continents did not move. So we must remember the immortal words of Mark Twain, who said, “Whenever you find yourself on the side of the majority, it is time to pause and reflect.”





Maybe Global Warming Is Manmade Afterall

19 01 2007

Bobby Henderson’s Church of the FSM has drawn a very interesting corelation in his 2005 open letter to the Kansas School Board:

You may be interested to know that global warming, earthquakes, hurricanes, and other natural disasters are a direct effect of the shrinking numbers of Pirates since the 1800s. For your interest, I have included a graph of the approximate number of pirates versus the average global temperature over the last 200 years. As you can see, there is a statistically significant inverse relationship between pirates and global temperature.

776px-pchart.jpg





Global Warming: The Bracelet

19 01 2007

So Nancy Pelosi wants to create a Global Warming committee. And everyone’s got their own bill they want to introduce. The Gubernator is getting ready to leverage any fiscal security California might have anticpated for the future. TV, newspapers, radio, magazines – Global Warming is everywhere. Is this all the publicity runup to the release of Al Gore’s new movie “An Inconvenient Truth 2: Fuel Cell Boogaloo”?

Abortion is a moot issue and people are bored with gay marriage, so Democrats are picking up the latest trend as their new hot issue.  And they’re using the same techniques to rally their constituents that they lambaste the Republicans for so doing with their anchor issue, terrorism: fearmongering and spreading panic.

They’ve picked a great one with which to rebuild their flailing, failing party.  An issue with a lot of momentum.  With legs.  And one that the media will gladly glom onto.  It’s sexy and thrilling and urgent and fearful.  And it’s a good replacement for war headlines.  And the kids dig it, too.  Global Warming is trendy like their Uggs, but they don’t have to pay $150 to be cool (unless they want to be carbon neutral).

I like to refer to Global Warming with capital “G/W” because Global Warming is a brand. It’s this year’s Live Strong bracelet. Literally. It’s the latest cause celebre. And in another couple of years, I’ll bet dollars to donuts we no longer hear about it except for maybe in a retrospective look at the first 10 years of the 21st Century.

In January 2009, when whichever Democrat President-elect is sworn in to office, the problem of Global Warming will magically be solved in an instant. Much like the problem of homelessness that was so often front page news during the Reagan and GHW Bush years was miraculously solved once President Clinton was sworn in, rarely to be heard of in any news format for the rest of the 1990′s.

I use the brand name of Global Warming when I proclaim myself an Global Warming skeptic because I don’t believe the hype.

I do believe in small “g/w” global warming. Everything in nature is cyclic. There are warm periods and there are cool periods. Climate change has occured long before we were here and it will continue long after we’re gone.  But that’s not sexy, now is it?





Skeptic’s Guide To Mass Delusion

9 12 2006

Thank you, Senator Inhofe, for releasing to the world at large “A Skeptic’s Guide To Debunking Global Warming Alarmism. Hot & Cold Media Spin Cycle: A Challenge To Journalists Who Cover Global Warming.”

Click here and get the guide while you can before it mysteriously disappears once the Environment & Public Works Committee reconvenes in January.

Judging by the press release, the guide makes a great stocking stuffer:

The color glossy 64 page booklet — previously was only available in hardcopy to the media and policy makers — includes speeches, graphs, press releases and scientific articles refuting catastrophe climate fears presented by the media, the United Nations, Hollywood and former Vice President turned-foreign-lobbyist Al Gore.

…..

The book, which features web links to all supporting documentation, also serves as a handbook to identify the major players in media bias when it comes to poor climate science reporting. The guide presents a reporter’s virtual who’s-who’s of embarrassing and one-sided media coverage, with a focus on such reporters as CBS News “60 Minutes” Scott Pelley, ABC News reporter Bill Blakemore, CNN’s Miles O’Brien, and former NBC Newsman Tom Brokaw.

…..

“The American people are fed up with the media for promoting the idea that former Vice President Al Gore represents the scientific “consensus” that SUV’s and the modern American way of life have somehow created a ‘climate emergency’ that only United Nations bureaucrats and wealthy Hollywood liberals can solve,” Senator Inhofe said in October.

There are a few other related white papers here for your perusal. Enjoy.








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